Wednesday, March 25, 2009

How To Profit From Support Breakdowns And Resistance Breakthroughs

Whole Foods Market, Inc. (WFMI) owns and operates a chain of natural and organic foods supermarket. As of September 30, 2008, the Company operated 275 stores organized into 11 geographic operating regions, 264 stores in 38 United States of America states and the District of Columbia; six stores in Canada, and five stores in the United Kingdom

wfmi

There were 4 trading alerts today for WFMI. These were based on breakdown of supports and breakout of resistances. As mentioned in the chart, once key support levels are broken down, the stock keeps moving lower. The rationale behind this is pretty simple. Most traders place their stop loss below key support levels. If these support levels are broken, the stop losses get triggered putting more pressure on the stock. WFMI saw a continous sell-off after the morning spike. After every key support was broken, sellers poured in, taking the stock lower and lower. (Breaking down from $18.20 to $16.80 levels)

Eventually in the last half hour, bulls took control of the stock and broke past the $17.00 on the upside, providing a quick long entry.

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Thursday, March 19, 2009

Fed Will Pump 1 Trillion Into The Economy: Bye Bye Dollar

What’s Happening In The Market Now..
  • Stocks moved higher at the open this morning after a report showed new unemployment claims dropped last week, then slid back in morning trading.
  • The Federal Reserve, yesterday, said it would pump more than $1 trillion into the economy. The plans include the purchase of long-term Treasury bonds.
  • The Labor Department said the number of initial requests for unemployment insurance dropped to a seasonally adjusted 646,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 658,000, better than economists' expectations.
  • The House voted today on a bill that would levy a 90 percent tax on bonuses paid to employees with family incomes above $250,000 at companies that have received at least $5 billion in government bailout money.
  • The dollar continued its weakening trend, as the euro spiked to a 10-week high and the U.S. currency sank to a three-week low against the yen.
  • The dollar skid pushed the price of oil up sharply with oil heading over $50 a barrel, reaching the highest levels since December.
  • Gold hit $950+
  • Sectors starting the day out strong include insurers, automakers, diversified metals & mining and aluminum while footwear, diversified banks, health care equipment and tobacco are down.
Stocks Most Watched Today
Schlumberger Ltd (SLB), Goldcorp Inc (GG), Childrens Place Retail Stores Inc (PLCE), Arcelor Mittal (MT), Deere and Co (DE), Penn West Energy Trust (PWE), Sterlite Industries Ltd (SLT), Alexandria Real Estate Equities Inc (ARE), Scotts Miracle Gro Company (SMG) and Donaldson Co (DCI)

Today’s News Leaders…
Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR), Goldcorp Inc (GG), Schlumberger Ltd (SLB), Fedex Corp (FDX) and ArcelorMittal ADR (MT)

Analysts Favorites…
Caterpillar Inc (CAT), Broadcom Corp (BRCM), Schlumberger Ltd (SLB), Bristol Myers Squibb Co (BMY) and Schering Plough (SGP)

ETFs and HOLDRs Watched Today…
Select Sector SPDR Energy Fund (XLE), iShares Trust FTSE Xinhua China Index Fund (FXI), iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund (EWZ), Market Vectors Gold Miners (GDX) and Pharmaceutical HOLDRS (PPH)

Tip of the Day…
If you are a long term investor, don’t let the news of the day have to much influence. The fact that interest rates did or did not change may have a minimal effect on your portfolios long term performance.

Source: MarketIntelligenceCenter.com

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Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Stock Picks With Dow Closing At 6.5K

RGR started rallying in late Feb and has not looked back except for one negative day. Is this strong trend coming to an end ? Buying volume is seeing a dip and that could be early signs of reversal. Keep watching for potential short entry.

rgr

LFT took off after positive earnings. LFT has struggled to break and stay above $18.00 for the second time. This could provide some scalping on the short side. Once LFT breaks down, it has no strong support till $16.35. This should provide some decent short gains.

lft1

REST OF MY STOCK PICKS ARE LISTED...HERE

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Monday, March 09, 2009

Intraday Resistance & Support Provide Trading Opportunities

Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation (SWHC) is a manufacturer and exporter of firearms. The Company manufactures an array of pistols, revolvers, tactical rifles, hunting rifles, black powder firearms, handcuffs, and firearm-related products and accessories for sale to a variety of customers, including gun enthusiasts, collectors, hunters, sportsmen, competitive shooters, protection focused individuals, law enforcement agencies and officers, and military agencies in the United States and worldwide.

swhc1

SWHC was a perfect example of how support and resistance work. SWHC is one stock that have spiked all the way from $2.00 in Feb 09 to $4.00 in March 09, giving investors 100% returns. For a swing trade SWHC is definitely in an overbought category and can see some reversal soon. However for a day trade, SWHC provides an excellent opportunity to go long in the morning and go short in the afternoon.

No matter what experts say, any important round number always provides resistance and support. In case of SWHC today it was the magically $4.50 level. Today morning, this was taken out on the upside. This provided a good support for traders who wanted to go long. As you can see from the intra-day chart, the stock rallied from this position spiking all the way till $4.80, providing easy profits. However the $4.75 - $4.80 level provided strong resistance, and all attempts to break above it failed. Traders eventually dumped the stock and dragged the stock back to $4.50, where it found good support. As most smart traders understand, once the $4.50 is broken on the downside, it is time to sell their open long position or start a short position. The chart clearly shows how once this pivotal $4.50 was taken out, it took a deep dive closing at $4.36 levels again providing easy profits.

Traders should make use of these resistance and support levels to day-trade stocks. Breaking of important price points are indicators of trends to follow.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

Job Losses Hit 25 Year High

The U.S. unemployment rate rose to a 25-year high of 8.1 percent in February as employers, buckling under the strain of a severe recession, axed 651,000 jobs, government data showed on Friday. Adding to the gloom, a combined 161,000 more jobs were lost in January and December than previously believed, the U.S. Labor Department said in its monthly nonfarm payrolls report. Since the recession started in December 2007, the economy has shed 4.4 million jobs, with more than half of that number lost in the last four months alone. A total of 12.5 million people were unemployed in February, the Labor Department said.

Consumer borrowing rose unexpectedly
in January after three months of declines, but the small increase did not shake economists' views that borrowing will remain weak this year as mass layoffs persist amid the recession. The Federal Reserve said Friday that borrowing increased at an annual rate of $1.76 billion in the first month of the year. Economists expected borrowing to decline at a rate of $5 billion. The small gain came mainly from the category that includes credit cards, which rose at a 1.2 percent rate in January after dropping 9.5 percent in December. The category that covers auto loans rose 0.6 percent after a smaller 0.1 percent rise in December. The increases were attributed to the stronger performance of retail sales which posted a 1 percent rise in January, the best showing in 14 months. While that increase was unexpected, analysts noted that it was still modest and followed a six-month decline. Consumer spending accounts for about 70 percent of U.S. economic activity, and borrowing fell at an annual rate of $7.48 billion in December after a $9.13 billion drop in November. The December figure was slightly larger than previously reported while the November number was smaller.

Gold prices plowed higher Friday amid a gloomy jobs report and ongoing uncertainty about the future of the financial system. Energy and agriculture futures also enjoyed moderate gains. Investors looked to the precious metal as a safe bet once again as selling continued on Wall Street for much of the day. Gold is often used as a safe-haven investment in times of economic turmoil. (GLD)

Commerce, Ga.-based Freedom Bank of Georgia was closed by regulators Friday, marking the 17th bank failure of the year, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation said in a statement. Lavonia-based Northeast Georgia Bank has assumed all of the failed bank's deposits, the FDIC said. As of March 4, Freedom Bank of Georgia had roughly $173 million in assets and $161 million in deposits. The FDIC estimated the cost of Freedom Bank's failure to its deposit insurance fund will be $36.2 million.

General Motors Corp. shares fell to their lowest point in more than 75 years Friday, as investors fretted that the ailing automaker may be forced to file for bankruptcy protection despite government help. GM shares hit a low of $1.27 in late morning trading before rebounding to close down 41 cent, or 22 percent, at $1.45. GM said in a statement Friday that it has not changed its intention to avoid a bankruptcy filing, and that an out-of-court restructuring remains its best option to survive the worst auto sales climate in 27 years. (GM)

Following the lead of other major banks, Wells Fargo & Co. said Friday it will slash its dividend by 85 percent to shore up its capital base. The bank, which is still digesting the acquisition of Wachovia Corp., said cutting its quarterly payout from 34 cents a share to 5 cents would result in $5 billion in annual savings. Wells Fargo also disclosed improved mortgage lending figures for the first two months of the year and said it hoped to pay back $25 billion in government rescue funds as soon as possible. It also said it has identified ways to save an additional $2 billion a year. (WFC)

Shares of Apple fell about 4 percent Friday after an analyst said sales of Mac computers and the iPhone were coming in below expectations. (AAPL)

Whole Foods Market Inc. will sell 13 stores to resolve the Federal Trade Commission's challenge of its $565 million purchase of Wild Oats Markets, the company said Friday. Whole Foods is putting 12 Wild Oats stores and one Whole Foods store up for sale in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Missouri, New Mexico, Nevada, Oregon and Utah. (WFMI)

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Thursday, March 05, 2009

Stock Picks After Bulls Put Up A Fight With S&P500 Above 700

EFOI is reaching its 200 dma at $1.73. This should provide first line of resistance. If this is take out, EFOI can run up to $2.00. Potential short if it doesnt break $1.73

efoi

LFT is picking volume and heavy price action. LFT has been on an upward movement from $13.00 all the way till $17.00 breaking through various resistance. It has recently broken out of its 200 dma strongly. Next it faces $17.80 level as the next strong resistance level. For trader anything below $17.80 should be the short entry, with stop loss on the break of $18.00. RSI levels are overbought indicating possibility of selloffs.

lft

You can view all my stock picks here... Stock Picks For Traders After Market Gives A Dead Cat Bounce

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Wednesday, March 04, 2009

Stock Picks After S&P500 Breaks Below 700

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL) is principally engaged in the operation and development of the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store restaurant and retail concept (Cracker Barrel). CBRL is up last 8 trading days and has broken out of its $22.00 resistance. However next line of resistance will be around $23.20 level, which if not taken out could provide a good short entry. RSI indicates reaching overbought level.

cbrl

Lance, Inc., (LNCE) manufactures, markets and distributes a variety of snack food products, including sandwich crackers and sandwich cookies, potato chips, crackers, cookies, other salty snacks, sugar wafers, nuts, restaurant-style crackers and candy. LNCE took out its previous resistance at $23.24 all the way till $24.00. However it could not sustain its level and broke below it $23.00 level. Keep watching on how it plays out tomorrow and can it take out the $23.20 and $24.00 resistance or not. Otherwise potential short.

lnce

You can view all my stock picks here... Stock Picks For Tomorrow After S&P500 Broke Below 700

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